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Summary

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108890

Description

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are a growing concern in the West Florida Shelf (WFS) region. An Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) model of the WFS explicitly simulating HABs was previously developed to illuminate the potential impacts of blooms of the dinoflagellate Karenia brevis (colloquially referred to as “red tides”) on the WFS eco-system. However, the diet matrix of the Ecopath component of this EwE model (referred to as “WFS-HAB Ecopath”) was based largely on sparse, cursory information and not on local survey data. Here, we revise the diet matrix of the WFS-HAB Ecopath model using predictions of a robust statistical model that incorporates local survey data and employs the Dirichlet distribution and maximum likelihood estimation. The relative impacts of both the revised diet matrix and red tide mortality scenarios on model structure are explored by comparing four alternative WFS-HAB Ecopath models: (i) the base model; (ii) a model employing the revised diet matrix; (iii) a model with elevated red tide mortality; and (iv) a model with both the revised diet matrix and elevated red tide mortality. Incorporating the revised diet matrix into the WFS-HAB Ecopath model had a relatively large impact on ecosystem structure (i.e., trophic organization, mortality rates, trophic interaction strengths, and omnivory). Elevated red tide mortality had virtually no impact on ecosystem structure aside from altering the contribution of fishing, natural, and red tide mortalities to the total mortality of functional groups; however, elevated red tide mortality might have meaningful implications in dynamic simulations, which should be explored in future studies. Collectively, results showed that incorporating the revised diet matrix into WFS-HAB Ecopath, which revealed a number of new predator-prey linkages, led to a more complex and interconnected food web. Specifically, prey items were generally consumed by a broader variety of predators, which contrasts with the base WFS-HAB Ecopath model where many prey, particularly juvenile fishes, were subjected to exceedingly high predation mortality rates from specific predators. The incorporation of the revised diet matrix into the WFS-HAB Ecopath model discussed herein is a fundamental step towards increasing the realism of trophic interactions in the model, which is particularly important as these trophic interactions define starting conditions for dynamic simulations.

Document Information

Document Type
Journal article

Document Format
Acrobat Portable Document Format

Publication Date
2019-11-30

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No contact information is available for this record.

Please contact the owner organization (SEFSC) for inquiries on this record.

Item Identification

Title: A revised diet matrix to improve the parameterization of a West Florida Shelf Ecopath model for understanding harmful algal bloom impacts
Status: Completed
Creation Date: 2019
Revision Date: 2019-10-25
Publication Date: 2019-11-30
Abstract:

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are a growing concern in the West Florida Shelf (WFS) region. An Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) model of the WFS explicitly simulating HABs was previously developed to illuminate the potential impacts of blooms of the dinoflagellate Karenia brevis (colloquially referred to as “red tides”) on the WFS eco-system. However, the diet matrix of the Ecopath component of this EwE model (referred to as “WFS-HAB Ecopath”) was based largely on sparse, cursory information and not on local survey data. Here, we revise the diet matrix of the WFS-HAB Ecopath model using predictions of a robust statistical model that incorporates local survey data and employs the Dirichlet distribution and maximum likelihood estimation. The relative impacts of both the revised diet matrix and red tide mortality scenarios on model structure are explored by comparing four alternative WFS-HAB Ecopath models: (i) the base model; (ii) a model employing the revised diet matrix; (iii) a model with elevated red tide mortality; and (iv) a model with both the revised diet matrix and elevated red tide mortality. Incorporating the revised diet matrix into the WFS-HAB Ecopath model had a relatively large impact on ecosystem structure (i.e., trophic organization, mortality rates, trophic interaction strengths, and omnivory). Elevated red tide mortality had virtually no impact on ecosystem structure aside from altering the contribution of fishing, natural, and red tide mortalities to the total mortality of functional groups; however, elevated red tide mortality might have meaningful implications in dynamic simulations, which should be explored in future studies. Collectively, results showed that incorporating the revised diet matrix into WFS-HAB Ecopath, which revealed a number of new predator-prey linkages, led to a more complex and interconnected food web. Specifically, prey items were generally consumed by a broader variety of predators, which contrasts with the base WFS-HAB Ecopath model where many prey, particularly juvenile fishes, were subjected to exceedingly high predation mortality rates from specific predators. The incorporation of the revised diet matrix into the WFS-HAB Ecopath model discussed herein is a fundamental step towards increasing the realism of trophic interactions in the model, which is particularly important as these trophic interactions define starting conditions for dynamic simulations.

Other Citation Details:

Holly A. Perryman, Joseph H. Tarnecki, Arnaud Grüss, Elizabeth A. Babcock, Skyler R. Sagarese, Cameron H. Ainsworth, Alisha M. Gray DiLeone,

A revised diet matrix to improve the parameterization of a West Florida Shelf Ecopath model for understanding harmful algal bloom impacts,

Ecological Modelling,

Volume 416,

2020,

108890,

ISSN 0304-3800,

DOI (Digital Object Identifier): 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108890
DOI Registration Authority: Elsevier Wordmark

Document Information

Document Type: Journal article
Format: Acrobat Portable Document Format
Status Code: Published

URLs

URL 1

CC ID: 888058
URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108890
Name: url of journal article
URL Type:
Online Resource
File Resource Format: html
Description:

Journal article

Catalog Details

Catalog Item ID: 58275
GUID: gov.noaa.nmfs.inport:58275
Metadata Record Created By: Lee M Weinberger
Metadata Record Created: 2019-12-03 02:30+0000
Metadata Record Last Modified By: SysAdmin InPortAdmin
Metadata Record Last Modified: 2022-08-09 17:11+0000
Metadata Record Published: 2021-05-05
Owner Org: SEFSC
Metadata Publication Status: Published Externally
Do Not Publish?: N
Metadata Last Review Date: 2021-05-05
Metadata Review Frequency: 1 Year
Metadata Next Review Date: 2022-05-05